| Outcome |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|
Gustavo PetroWinner | 100%settled | - |
V Viktor OrbánWinner | 100% |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Khamenei removal as Supreme Leader of Iran has resolved with Gustavo Petro, Viktor Orbán, Keir Starmer, Nicolás Maduro and José Jerí as the winners. $3.19M was traded across Kalshi on 41 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
| - |
 Keir StarmerWinner | 100%settled | - |
N Nicolás MaduroWinner | 100%settled | - |
J José JeríWinner | 100%settled | - |
A Aleksandar Vučić | 94%settled | - |
K Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 70%settled | - |
 Benjamin Netanyahu | 0%— | - |
C Christopher Luxon | 0%— | - |
S Sébastien Lecornu | 0%— | - |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel | 0%— | - |
D Delcy Rodriguez | 0%— | - |
 Friedrich Merz | 0%— | - |
R Rodrigo Paz Pereira | 0%— | - |
 Ramzan Kadyrov | 0%— | - |
 Pedro Sánchez | 0%— | - |
A Ahmad al-Sharaa | 0%— | - |
 Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0%— | - |
E Emmanuel Macron | 0%— | - |
F Félix Tshisekedi | 0%— | - |
D Daniel Noboa | 0%— | - |
 Lee Jae Myung | 0%— | - |
D Denis Sassou Nguesso | 0%— | - |
 Vladimir Putin | 0%— | - |
 Giorgia Meloni | 0%— | - |
 Mette Frederiksen | 0%— | - |
R Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 0%— | - |
 Sanae Takaichi | 0%— | - |
J Jens-Frederik Nielsen | 0%— | - |
 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 0%— | - |
I Irfaan Ali | 0%— | - |
C Cyril Ramaphosa | 0%— | - |
M Mark Carney | 0%— | - |
 Xi Jinping | 0%— | - |
N Narendra Modi | 0%— | - |
C Claudia Sheinbaum | 0%— | - |
N Nayib Bukele | 0%— | - |
M Mohammed bin Salman | 0%— | - |
 Kim Jong Un | 0%— | - |
 Javier Milei | 0%— | - |
F Frederik X | 0%— | - |
