| Outcome |  Kalshi |  Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
8 80-81°FWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
8 82° or aboveWinner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 14, 2026 has resolved with 80-81°F and 82° or above as the winners. $211.7K was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 11 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is greater than 81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
100%settled |
| - |
| - |
8 80° to 81° | 0%settled | - | - |
7 76° to 77° | 0%settled | - | - |
7 73° or below | 0%settled | - | - |
7 74° to 75° | 0%settled | - | - |
7 78° to 79° | 0%settled | - | - |
8 84-85°F | - | 0%settled | - |
7 78-79°F | - | 0%settled | - |
8 82-83°F | - | 0%settled | - |
8 86-87°F | - | 0%settled | - |
