| Outcome |  Kalshi |  Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
7 76-77°FWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
7 76° or belowWinner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Highest temperature in NYC on July 30, 2026 has resolved with 76-77°F and 76° or below as the winners. $316.9K was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 8 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 30, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 84°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
100%settled |
| - |
| - |
7 77° to 78° | 0%settled | - | - |
7 79° to 80° | 0%settled | - | - |
7 74-75°F | - | 0%settled | - |
7 72-73°F | - | 0%settled | - |
7 78-79°F | - | 0%settled | - |
8 80-81°F | - | 0%settled | - |
