| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
8 80-81°FWinner | 100%settled | - | - |
7 79° or belowWinner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Highest temperature in NYC on July 19, 2026 has resolved with 80-81°F and 79° or below as the winners. $386.4K was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 11 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 87°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
100%settled |
| - |
8 80° to 81° | - | 0%settled | - |
8 82° to 83° | - | 0%settled | - |
8 86° to 87° | - | 0%settled | - |
8 84° to 85° | - | 0%settled | - |
8 82-83°F | 0%settled | - | - |
7 78-79°F | 0%settled | - | - |
7 76-77°F | 0%settled | - | - |
8 84-85°F | 0%settled | - | - |
8 86-87°F | 0%settled | - | - |
