| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
8 88-89°FWinner | 100%settled | - | - |
8 88° or belowWinner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Highest temperature in NYC on July 16, 2026 has resolved with 88-89°F and 88° or below as the winners. $513.2K was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 11 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
100%settled |
| - |
9 91° to 92° | - | 0%settled | - |
8 89° to 90° | - | 0%settled | - |
9 93° to 94° | - | 0%settled | - |
8 87°F or below | 0%settled | - | - |
9 92-93°F | 0%settled | - | - |
9 90-91°F | 0%settled | - | - |
9 94-95°F | 0%settled | - | - |
9 96-97°F | 0%settled | - | - |
9 98-99°F | 0%settled | - | - |
