What happened
Spain defeated France 2-0 in the FIFA World Cup 2026 semifinal at Dallas Stadium on July 14, with goals from Mikel Oyarzabal (penalty, 22') and Pedro Porro (58'). Spain's suffocating defense held France's high-powered offense to just 0.26 expected goals, advancing to the World Cup final for the first time since winning the tournament in 2010.
Sources: nbcnews.com · espn.com · foxsports.com · fifa.com
Written Jul 15, 2026 from news coverage · final prices in the table below
| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
 SpainWinner | 100%settled | - | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 2-0Winner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
France vs Spain Football Match has resolved with Spain and Reg Time: Spain wins 2-0 as the winners. $96.22M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 22 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If France wins 5-2 in the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
100%settled |
| - |
R Reg Time: France wins 2-1 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: France wins 3-2 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 2-1 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Draw 1-1 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: France wins 3-1 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 3-2 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 3-0 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 1-0 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 3-1 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: France wins 2-0 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Draw 3-3 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: France wins 1-0 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: France wins 4-3 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: France wins 4-2 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Draw 0-0 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 4-0 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: Spain wins 4-2 | - | 0%settled | - |
R Reg Time: France wins 3-0 | - | 0%settled | - |
D Draw (France vs. Spain) | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
 France | 0%settled | - | - |
