| Outcome |  Kalshi | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
Mercedes AMG Motorsport | 1.9pp spread | ||
 Ferrari | 0.7pp spread | ||
 McLaren | 0.5pp spread | ||
 Red Bull Racing | 0.9pp spread | ||
 Haas | 0.9pp spread | ||
 Cadillac | 0.9pp spread | ||
 Aston Martin | 0.9pp spread | ||
 Audi | 0.9pp spread | ||
 Alpine | 0.9pp spread | ||
 Williams | 0.9pp spread | ||
 Racing Bulls | 0.9pp spread |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Compare F1 Constructors Championship 2026 prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 1.0pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $30.91M in combined trading volume across 11 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If [OUTCOME] wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
