| Outcome |  Kalshi |  Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
T Target Price: $74,779.72 (Yes - price up) | 1%settled | 100%settled | - |
6 |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Compare BTC price in next 15 minutes prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 0.0pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $1.23M in combined trading volume across 11 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Apr 19, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on April 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
0%settled |
| - |
7 70,000-72,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
7 76,000-78,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
7 78,000-80,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
7 72,000-74,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
> >80,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
6 66,000-68,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
< <62,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
6 64,000-66,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
6 62,000-64,000 | - | 0%settled | - |
