| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
↑ ↑ 65,000Winner | 100%— | - | - |
$ $80,000 or aboveWinner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Bitcoin Hit Price Daily has resolved with ↑ 65,000, $80,000 or above, $79,900 or above, $79,800 or above, $79,700 or above, $79,600 or above, $79,500 or above and $79,300 or above as the winners. $110.3K was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 23 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 1 PM EDT is above 87299.99 at 1 PM EDT on May 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
100%settled |
| - |
$ $79,900 or aboveWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
$ $79,800 or aboveWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
$ $79,700 or aboveWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
$ $79,600 or aboveWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
$ $79,500 or aboveWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
$ $79,300 or aboveWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
↓ ↓ 64,000 | 0%— | - | - |
$ $80,100 or above | - | 0%settled | - |
$ $80,200 or above | - | 0%settled | - |
$ $80,300 or above | - | 0%settled | - |
$ $80,400 or above | - | 0%settled | - |
$ $80,500 or above | - | 0%settled | - |
$ $80,600 or above | - | 0%settled | - |
$ $80,700 or above | - | 0%settled | - |
↑ ↑ 66,000 | 0%— | - | - |
↑ ↑ 68,000 | 0%— | - | - |
↓ ↓ 63,000 | 0%— | - | - |
↑ ↑ 67,000 | 0%— | - | - |
↓ ↓ 62,000 | 0%— | - | - |
↑ ↑ 72,000 | 0%— | - | - |
↑ ↑ 71,000 | 0%— | - | - |
