What happened
Argentina advanced to the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals by defeating Egypt 3-2 in the Round of 16 on July 7, mounting a remarkable comeback from two goals down with late goals from Cristian Romero, Lionel Messi, and Enzo Fernández in stoppage time. The defending champions erased Egypt's early lead to secure a place in the last eight and await the winner of Switzerland vs. Colombia.
Sources: espn.com · fifa.com · nbcnews.com · aljazeera.com
Written Jul 7, 2026 from news coverage · final prices in the table below
| Outcome | Spread | ||
|---|---|---|---|
Argentina advancesWinner | 100%settled | 100%settled | - |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Argentina vs Egypt — Team to Advance has resolved with Argentina advances as the winner. $24.59M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 2 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Egypt, scheduled for July 7 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
If Egypt advance past Argentina in the Argentina vs Egypt soccer match in the Round Of 16 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
0%settled |
0%settled |
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