| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Buffalo Bills | 0.5pp spread | |||
 Baltimore Ravens | 0.5pp spread | |||
 Kansas City Chiefs | 1.5pp spread | |||
 Houston Texans | 0.5pp spread | |||
 Los Angeles Chargers | 0.5pp spread | |||
 Denver Broncos | 2.0pp spread | |||
 New England Patriots | 0.5pp spread | |||
 Cincinnati Bengals | 1.1pp spread | |||
 Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.5pp spread | |||
 Indianapolis Colts | 0.2pp spread | |||
 Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.3pp spread | |||
 Las Vegas Raiders | 1.4pp spread | |||
 Tennessee Titans | 1.5pp spread | |||
 Cleveland Browns | 0.3pp spread | |||
 Miami Dolphins | 0.4pp spread | |||
 New York Jets | 0.4pp spread |
Denver BroncosPolymarketKalshiCost: 98¢ per pair → pays $1 at resolution. Gross spread 2.0pp — before fees, and only at the top of what may be a thin book; both platforms charge trade fees and capital locks up until the market resolves, so the executable edge is usually smaller (often zero).
View all arbsBackground, methodology, and platform context
Compare 2027 AFC Championship Winner prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 0.8pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $9.10M in combined trading volume across 16 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If [OUTCOME] wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
