| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
E Europe (UEFA)Winner | 100%— | 100%settled | - |
A Asia (AFC) | 0%— | - | - |
A Asia or Oceania | - | 0%settled | - |
S South America (CONMEBOL) | 0%— | 0%settled | - |
N North America (CONCACAF) | 0%— | 0%settled | - |
A Africa (CAF) | 0%— | 0%settled | - |
O Oceania (OCF) | 0%— | - | - |
Background, methodology, and platform context
2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Winning Continent has resolved with Europe (UEFA) as the winner. $10.63M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 7 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If any country that competes in South America (CONMEBOL) qualification is the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
