What happened
The International Mathematical Union announced four recipients of the 2026 Fields Medal on July 23 at the International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia: Yu Deng of the University of Chicago, John Pardon of Stony Brook University, Jacob Tsimerman of the University of Toronto, and Hong Wang of New York University and France's IHES.
Sources: simonsfoundation.org · scientificamerican.com · washingtonpost.com · mathunion.org
Written Jul 25, 2026 from news coverage · final prices in the table below
| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
H Hong WangWinner | 100%settled | 100%settled | - |
J |
Background, methodology, and platform context
2026 Fields Medal Winners has resolved with Hong Wang, Jacob Tsimerman, John Pardon and Yu Deng as the winners. $1.03M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 6 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If Alexander Efimov wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
100%settled |
100%settled |
| - |
J John PardonWinner | 100%settled | 100%settled | - |
Y Yu DengWinner | 100%settled | 100%settled | - |
J Jack Thorne | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
J Julian Sahasrabudhe | 0%settled | - | - |
