| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
G George Russell | 40%settled | 99%settled | - |
L Lewis Hamilton |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Compare 2026 Austrian Grand Prix Winner prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 0.0pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $3.16M in combined trading volume across 10 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If Max Verstappen finishes in exactly first in the main race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at the 2026 Austrian Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
14%settled |
1%settled |
| - |
O Oscar Piastri | 1%settled | 1%settled | - |
C Charles Leclerc | - | 1%settled | - |
L Lando Norris | - | 1%settled | - |
A Alexander Albon | - | 1%settled | - |
I Isack Hadjar | - | 1%settled | - |
F Fernando Alonso | - | 1%settled | - |
M Max Verstappen | 0%settled | 1%settled | - |
A Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0%settled | 1%settled | - |
